Well, this is awfully dour. I’m optimistic though; the Mets’ bullpen pulled them through last year, and granted there are a few question marks (Duaner's ability to come back as strong as last year, no Mota at the start and lord knows what he’ll look like when he comes back post-‘roids, etc.), but still, there’s no good reason that they shouldn’t dominate this year again.
Plus, they haven’t lost any strength in the lineup, and if run support could get Steve Trachsel to 15 wins, that strength is a bit of comfort regarding the starting rotation situation. Plus, the upside of the Mets’ young rotation is potentially a whole lot greater than the Phillies’ known and largely less-than-spectacular quantities (except Hamels, who’s legitimately great if he doesn’t get hurt).
I'd be surprised if the Mets run away with it early like last year, but
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